Determinants of Money Demand by Business Sector for Extending Monetary Policy Applications in Pakistan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63062/trt/V24.036Keywords:
Cash Holdings, Monetary Policy, Motives of Cash Holdings, PakistanAbstract
The complex interplay between monetary policy, cash holdings, and their motives holds crucial importance for the economic stability, investment decisions, and financial resilience of a developing country like Pakistan. The nation is enduring a difficult period where it has a weak domestic currency, a burden of foreign debt and adverse exchange rates. Under this situation, corporate cash-holding decisions are highly influenced by monetary policy, making it crucial to explore the determinants of money demand by the business sector to extend monetary policy implications in Pakistan. In order to understand the wider effects of Pakistan's monetary policy, it is crucial to look into the elements that influence the demand for money inside the business sector. Therefore, the current study explores the determinants of money demand by the business sector for extending monetary policy applications in Pakistan and the non-linear association between cash holdings and their motives in order to assess if the priorities of business change with the change in the incidence of cash holding motives. The study used the panel quantile regression for 315 firms listed in the KSE index. The model is merited on its ability to address non-normal variables while handling the panel data sets. The results indicate that all the indicators of demand for cash by firms have a non-linear effect. Transaction and speculative motives have an inverted U-shaped effect, while precaution motives have U shaped effect.
References
Akbar, M. (2023). Effects of inflation uncertainty and exchange rate volatility on money demand in Pakistan: Bayesian econometric analysis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 28(2),1470-1487 https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2488
Amess, K., Banerji, S., & Lampousis, A. (2015). Corporate cash holdings: Causes and consequences. International Review of Financial Analysis, 42, 421-433 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.09.007
Astuti, A. W., Wiyono, G., & Mujino, M. (2019). Analisis Cash Holding Berbasis Kekuatan Kas Dan Modal Kerja Bersih. JBTI: Jurnal Bisnis: Teori dan Implementasi, 10(2), 137-149 https://doi.org/10.18196/bti.102123
Bates, T., Kahle, K., & Stulz, R. (2009). Why Do U.S. Firms Hold So Much More Cash than They Used To? The Journal of Finance, 64(5), 1985-2021 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01492.x
Baumol, W. J. (1952). The Transactions Demand for Cash: An Inventory Theoretic Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 66(4), 545-556. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882104
Bayyurt, N., & Nizaeva, M. (2016). Determinants of corporate cash holdings: The case of an emerging market. Journal of International Scientific Publications, 10(1),191-201. https://ideas.repec.org/a/isp/journl/v10y2016i1p191-201.html
Brigham, E. F. (2008). Essentials of Managerial Finance. Fourteen Edition. In: New Jersey: Pearson-Prentice Hall.
Chen, R. (Ryan), El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., & Nash, R. (2018). State Ownership and Corporate Cash Holdings. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53(5), 2293–2334. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109018000236
Daoui, M. (2023, March 6). Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: A Literature Review. ArXiv.org. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2303.03162
Drobetz, W., & Grüninger, M. C. (2007). Corporate cash holdings: Evidence from Switzerland. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 21(3), 293–324. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-007-0052-8
Duong, H. N., Nguyen, J. H., Nguyen, M., & Rhee, S. G. (2020). Navigating through economic policy uncertainty: The role of corporate cash holdings. Journal of Corporate Finance, 62, 101607. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101607
El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Mansi, S., & Wang, H. (. (2023). Economic policy uncertainty, institutional environments, and corporate cash holdings. Research in International Business and Finance, 65, 101887. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.101887
Gao, J., Grinstein, Y., & Wang, W. (2017). Cash holdings, precautionary motives, and systematic uncertainty. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2478349
Gill, A., & Shah, C. (2012). Determinants of Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from Canada. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v4n1p70
Gu, N., & Sun, J. (2009). Financing Constraints, Cash Flow Risks, and Preventive Motivations for Cash Holdings. Journal of Business Economics and management, 4,73-81. https://www.scirp.org/reference/referencespapers?referenceid=2294142
Guizani, M. (2017). The financial determinants of corporate cash holdings in an oil-rich country: Evidence from Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Borsa Istanbul Review, 17(3), 133–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.05.003
Guo, H., Yin, C., & Zeng, Y. (2022). How does firm‐specific investor sentiment affect the value of corporate cash holdings? British Journal of Management, 34(1), 410-441. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8551.12602
Haans, R. F. J., Pieters, C., & He, Z.-L. (2015). Thinking about U: Theorizing and testing U- and inverted U-shaped relationships in strategy research. Strategic Management Journal, 37(7), 1177–1195. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2399
Hameed, K., Saher, A., Arshed, N., Abbas, R. Z., & Munir, M. (2023). Does Climate Change Risk and Environmental Quality Influence Macroeconomic Entrepreneurship. International Journal of Social Science & Entrepreneurship, 3(2),367-386. https://doi.org/10.58661/ijsse.v3i2.117
Han, S., & Qiu, J. (2007). Corporate precautionary cash holdings. Journal of Corporate Finance, 13(1), 43-57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2006.05.002
Heeney, L., Yang, S., Chowdhury, H., & Jui, K. (2023). Corporate cash holdings through economic policy uncertainty: An Australian study. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 79, 102008–102008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102008
Huang, X., Khan, Y. A., Arshed, N., Salem, S., Shabeer, M. G., & Hanif, U. (2023). Increasing social resilience against climate change risks: a case of extreme climate affected countries. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 15(3), 412–431. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijccsm-04-2022-0051
Jensen, M. C. (1996). Agency costs of free cash flow, corporate finance, and takeovers. Corporate Bankruptcy, 11-16. https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511609435.005
Keynes, J. M. (1937). The General Theory of Employment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 51(2), 209. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882087
Lin, T.-J., Chang, H.-Y., Yu, H.-F., & Kao, C.-P. (2019). The impact of political connections and business groups on cash holdings: Evidence from Chinese listed firms. Global Finance Journal, 40, 65–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2018.10.001
Mesfin, E. A. (2016). The factors affecting cash holding decisions of manufacturing share companies in Ethiopia. International Journal of Advanced Research in Management and Social Sciences, 5(3). https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3386930
Miller, M. H., & Orr, D. (1966). A model of the demand for money by firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(3), 413. https://doi.org/10.2307/1880728
Morris, J. R. (1983). The Role of Cash Balances in Firm Valuation. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 18(4), 533–545. https://doi.org/10.2307/2330946
Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(84)90023-0
Ndou, E., & Mokoena, T. (2019). Do Companies’ Cash Holdings Impact the Transmission of Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks to Capital Formation? In Inequality, Output-Inflation Trade-Off and Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence From South Africa (pp. 453-470). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
Nguyen, T. T., Nguyen, M. C., Bui, H. Q., & Vu, T. N. (2021). The cash-holding link within the supply chain. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 57(4), 1309–1344. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-021-00979-0
Opler, T., Pinkowitz, L., Stulz, R., & Williamson, R. (1997). The determinants and implications of corporate cash holdings. https://doi.org/10.3386/w6234
Ozkan, A., & Ozkan, N. (2004). Corporate cash holdings: An empirical investigation of UK companies. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(9), 2103-2134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2003.08.003
Rukh, L., ur Rehman, S., & Khan, S. (2017). Empirical analysis of factors affecting cash holdings in non-financial firms: evidence from public listed firms of Pakistan. Emerging Issues in Economics and Finance, 11(3),267-278. https://www.qurtuba.edu.pk/jms/default_files/JMS/special_edition/1%20EIEF/16%20267-278%20Lala%20Rukh.pdf
Saleem, F., Zafar, L., Khan, M. T., Khan, Z., & Jamil, S. (2021). Factors Effecting Corporate Cash Holdings of the listed Non-Financial Firms in Pakistan. Ilkogretim Online, 20(3).
State Bank of Pakistan. (2021). Financial Statement Analysis of Companies (Non Financial Sector) listed at Pakistan Stock Exchange. https://www.sbp.org.pk/departments/stats/FSA(Non).pdf
Tayem, G. (2017). The Determinants of Corporate Cash Holdings: The Case of a Small Emerging Market. International Journal of Financial Research, 8(1), 143. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v8n1p143
Trinh, N. T., Nguyen, T. P., & Nghiem, S. H. (2022). Economic policy uncertainty and other determinants of corporate cash holdings of Australian energy companies. International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 16(6), 1192-1213. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijesm-10-2020-0005
Wirianata, H., Viriany, & Mayo, I. F. D. (2023). Corporate Governance In Cash Management, Net Working Capital, And Cash Holding. Jurnal Akuntansi, 27(1), 118–135. https://doi.org/10.24912/ja.v27i1.1246
Xing-quan, Y. A. N. G., & Wan-li, L. I. (2016). Monetary Policy, Dependent on External Financing and Innovation Smoothing Effect of Cash Holding-An Empirical Research based on Credit Discrimination and Financial Development. Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, 34(03), 40.
Yang, X., Han, L., Li, W., Yin, X., & Tian, L. (2017). Monetary policy, cash holding and corporate investment: Evidence from China. China Economic Review, 46, 110-122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2017.09.001
Ye, Y. (2018). A Literature Review on the Cash Holding Issues. Modern Economy, 09(06), 1054–1064. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2018.96068
Yu, Y., Lee, Y., & Fok, R. C. (2015). Speculative motive for holding cash and high-interest entrusted loans. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2649970
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Dr. Farah Yasser, Fahad Asghar
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.