From Shadow War to Hybrid Confrontation: The Transformation of Iran Israel Rivalry in the Middle East

Authors

  • Arooj Fatima BS Scholar, Department of International Relations, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
  • Aneeza Fatima BS Scholar, Department of International Relations, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
  • Muhammad Usman Ikram Investigating Officer, Directorate of Intelligence and Investigation - Inland Revenue, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55737/trt/v-viii.381

Keywords:

Middle East Security, Israel-Iran Tension, Nuclear Ambition, Proxy Wars, Cyber Warefare, Islamic Revolution

Abstract

One of the oldest and complicated wars in the Middle East is war between Iran and Israel with the ultimate causes of Political, Religious and Territorial Quibbles. The geopolitical balance in the Middle East was altered after the 2025 Iran-Israeli war, and it became evident that international diplomacy is fragile and the liberal process of diplomacy in dealing with the nuclear issue is weak. The war, which lasted for twelve days, also reintroduced the question of anticipatory self-defense to discussion and also resulted in doubts about the viability of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) as the model for preventing any nuclear activity because of Israel's Operation Rising Lion and Iran's Operation True Promise 3. The paper reflects the impact of the conflict on the natural nature of the relations between regional actors, and how it has questioned the pertinence of international institutions created to advance peace, in the context of liberal institutionalism. Other powers, such as the United States, Russia and China, also played a role and the possibility of escalation created by the nuclear ambitions of Islamic Iran is also discussed. The basics of the conflict and stability to the region are to be achieved through further diplomatic efforts and improved regional cooperation as underscored in the paper.

Author Biography

  • Arooj Fatima, BS Scholar, Department of International Relations, Government College University Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.

    Corresponding Author: [email protected]

References

Afridi, S. J., Ahmad, I., Khan, U., & Khan, A. (2025). Trump's stance on the Iran-Israel war and how it affects regional security and Pakistan's foreign policy. Social Science Review Archives, 3(3), 968–975. https://doi.org/10.70670/sra.v3i3.929

Ali, Z., Kousar, F., & Ahmed, S. (2025). The Israel-Iran conflict: Shaping new regional dynamics in the Middle East. Journal Of Social Science and Knowledge Horizons, 1(1), 27-37.

Aman, A., Khalid, F., & Ara, R. (2025). The Iran-Israel conflict: A struggle for oil, missiles, and power-the geopolitical battle unfolds. Journal of Politics and International Studies, 11(1), 55-64. https://jpis.pu.edu.pk/45/article/view/1400

Bukhari, S. R., Khan, A. U., & Haq, I. U. (2024). Cracking the Enigma: Iran-Israel relations unveiled a provocative exploration into global geopolitics. Spry Contemporary Educational Practices, 3(1), 444-460. https://doi.org/10.62681/sprypublishers.scep/3/1/24

Farooq, U., Saqib, M., & Mustafa, G. (2025). Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions: A Potential Threat to Israel. Pakistan Social Sciences Review, 9(II), 89-98. https://doi.org/10.35484/pssr.2025(9-ii)07

Katz, Y. (2025). A decade of change in Middle Eastern geopolitics. Athens Journal of Politics & International Affair, 1(2), 163-178. https://doi.org/10.30958/ajpia.1-2-4

Al-Khaled, H., Al-Humaidi, S., & Al-Roumi, N. (2025). The configuration of power in the Middle East following the israel-Iran tension: A geopolitical. International Journal of Education and Social Science Studies, 1(2), 123-132. https://doi.org/10.60153/ijesss.v1i2.204

Khan, D., Zaid, S., Ishfaq, M., & Muhammad, S. (2024). Understanding the Iran - Israel conflict (2024–2025) root causes, proxy warfare, and impacts on middle eastern stability. Journal for Current Sign, 3(2), 731–744. https://currentsignreview.com/index.php/JCS/article/view/197

Liu, S. (2025). Beyond the battlefield: Economic and geopolitical reverberations of the 2024 Israel-Iran escalation in the Middle East, South Asia, and East Africa. Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies, 19(2), 130-153. https://doi.org/10.1080/25765949.2025.2553258

Maher, N. (2023). Balancing deterrence: Iran-Israel relations in a turbulent Middle East. Review of Economics and Political Science, 8(3), 226-245. https://doi.org/10.1108/reps-06-2019-0085

Mahmoudian, A. (2024). Iran-Israel conflict: A new stage emerges. GNSI publications, 15-20. https://doi.org/10.5038/tplx8603

Makar, D. T., & Pillah, T. P. (2025). Twelve Days of Escalation: Analyzing the June 2025 Israel–Iran War and US Precision Strikes on Nuclear Infrastructure. IRASS Journal of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences, 2(7), 1-12. https://irasspublisher.com/assets/articles/1751440309.pdf

Mansour, I. (2008). Iran and instability in the Middle East. International Journal: Canada's Journal of Global Policy Analysis, 63(4), 941-964. https://doi.org/10.1177/002070200806300408

Naqvi, S. F. (2024). Renewed Iran-Israel Rivalry in the Middle East: Consequences for the Arab World. Focus (Policy Journal of the institute of regional studies), 1-14. https://irs.org.pk/Focus/FJune24.pdf

Otubu, A., Efebeh, V. E., & Sanubi, F. A. (2024). United States-Iran conflict and its security implications for Middle East. Malikussaleh Social and Political Reviews, 5(1), 44-50. https://doi.org/10.29103/mspr.v5i1.16528

Pinfold, R. G., Jones, C., & Ehteshami, A. (2025). Collision course: How Iran and Israel brought the Middle East to the brink of war. Global Policy, 16(2), 289-298. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70004

Rabinovich, I. (2015). Israel and the changing Middle East. Middle east memo, 34, 1-11. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Israel-Rabinovich-01292015-1.pdf

Roomi, F. (2023). The Iran‐Israel conflict: An ultra‐ideological explanation. Middle East Policy, 30(2), 94-109. https://doi.org/10.1111/mepo.12687

Sahani, S. K. A Strategic Analysis of the Iran–Israel Conflict and its Implications for Middle East Security and Global Diplomacy. Future Fact Society Varanasi (UP) India, 140.

Touiserkani, M. (2025). Existential threats and evolving jus ad bellum: The June 2025 Israel-Iran conflict as a stress test for international law's capacity to address persistent state-sponsored hostility and WMD proliferation. Social Science Research Network, 43. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5577110

Yaqub, Z., & Tabassum, S. (2025). Israel’s Soft Power Application through Digital Diplomacy against Hamas to Iran Wars (2023-2025). ASSAJ, 4(01), 3908-3920. https://www.assajournal.com/index.php/36/article/view/871

Downloads

Published

2026-08-30

How to Cite

Fatima, A., Fatima, A., & Ikram, M. U. (2026). From Shadow War to Hybrid Confrontation: The Transformation of Iran Israel Rivalry in the Middle East. The Regional Tribune, 5(8), 60-69. https://doi.org/10.55737/trt/v-viii.381